Botafogo PB vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
CON
68%
18%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 3
BOT
9%
18%
73%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ARN
0 - 0
BOT
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 0
SPC
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
15 - 0
SPB
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 26 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
ACA
1 - 2
NAU
8%
18%
74%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 2
NAU
8%
16%
76%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
NAU
4 - 0
SED
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PET
0 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
72%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
RIV
81%
13%
5%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |