Botafogo PB vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
BOT
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
SPO
22%
23%
56%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 3
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
BOT
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
NAU
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 1
GUA
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 0
COR
22%
31%
48%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | +2 |