Botafogo PB vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
CRB
3 - 0
BOT
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TRE
3 - 2
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1977 |
BOT
1 - 3
SPO
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
NAU
2 - 1
BOT
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
XVD
2 - 0
BOT
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1977 |
NAU
5 - 0
TRE
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAU
48%
28%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
CRB
1 - 2
NAU
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
TRE
2 - 1
NAU
30%
29%
41%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
NAU
2 - 1
BOT
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |