Botafogo PB vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 0
CAM
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 2
BOT
13%
22%
66%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAC
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
BOT
11%
21%
69%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
3 - 1
CSA
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
FER
2 - 6
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
HOR
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
FER
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
BAR
62%
20%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |