Botafogo PB vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
IMP
2 - 1
BOT
25%
29%
46%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
ABC
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 2
SAM
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
BOT
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
NAU
3 - 1
CON
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
CON
3 - 1
IMP
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 2
CON
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
GLO
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
CON
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |