Brazil Cup U20 1/16

Botafogo U20 vs Castelo U20 analysis

Botafogo U20 Castelo U20
45 ELO 9
2.4% Tilt -6%
6297º General ELO ranking 47030º
243º Country ELO ranking 1315º
ELO win probability
79.8%
Botafogo U20
12.8%
Draw
7.4%
Castelo U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
Botafogo U20
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.4%
Win probability
Castelo U20
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Botafogo U20
Castelo U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Botafogo U20
Botafogo U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 2020
PAL
Palmeiras U20
1 - 0
Botafogo U20
BOT
37%
25%
39%
46 40 6 0
14 Dec. 2020
BOT
Botafogo U20
2 - 1
Bahia U20
BAH
63%
21%
16%
45 40 5 +1
09 Dec. 2020
BOT
Botafogo U20
2 - 1
Sport Recife U20
SPO
64%
20%
16%
45 38 7 0
03 Dec. 2020
AME
América Mineiro U20
3 - 2
Botafogo U20
BOT
30%
25%
45%
46 38 8 -1
30 Nov. 2020
FLA
Flamengo U20
3 - 0
Botafogo U20
BOT
50%
24%
26%
47 48 1 -1