Botafogo DF vs Ceilandense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
3 - 2
BDF
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GAM
0 - 0
BDF
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BDF
1 - 1
BRA
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
BDF
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BDF
3 - 1
BRA
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
1 - 2
BRA
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 1
CEI
56%
22%
21%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
2 - 1
CEI
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CFZ
0 - 1
CEI
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
2 - 4
GAM
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |