Botafogo DF vs Brazlândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CEI
3 - 0
BDF
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
BDF
1 - 4
GAM
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CEI
3 - 1
BDF
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BDF
3 - 2
CAP
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
BDF
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brazlândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BSE
0 - 2
BRA
15%
20%
66%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 1
BSE
55%
23%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BSE
3 - 2
SOB
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LEG
2 - 3
BSE
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BSE
1 - 1
CEI
24%
25%
50%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |