Boston United vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2016 |
BOS
3 - 1
CUR
47%
25%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
UNM
1 - 1
BOS
56%
21%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
WIT
4 - 2
BOS
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -3 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
STA
3 - 3
BOS
25%
22%
53%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FYL
9 - 2
BOS
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
GAI
1 - 1
WOR
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
GAI
1 - 2
UNM
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
4 - 1
GAI
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
GAI
0 - 0
ALF
32%
24%
45%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
KID
3 - 0
GAI
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |