Boston River vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
HFC
1 - 2
BOS
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BOS
2 - 1
REN
37%
28%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
DUR
0 - 4
BOS
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
BOS
1 - 1
DEP
39%
29%
33%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BOS
0 - 2
CEL
32%
27%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ROC
0 - 2
CSC
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CSC
4 - 1
SUD
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
DEP
1 - 0
CSC
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CSC
1 - 1
REN
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
HFC
1 - 1
CSC
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |