B. Dortmund II vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
SAL
1 - 2
BOR
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1999 |
F95
2 - 2
BOR
65%
21%
15%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
BOR
3 - 0
KFC
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
BOR
1 - 5
BOC
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
BOR
0 - 0
PIR
63%
20%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
VER
4 - 1
ELV
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
PAD
0 - 0
VER
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
VER
0 - 0
EIN
34%
25%
40%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
RWA
2 - 2
VER
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
VER
2 - 1
GUT
26%
25%
48%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |