Borgosesia vs Novese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgosesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ACR
2 - 2
BOR
30%
26%
45%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 1
DER
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
LAV
0 - 0
BOR
47%
26%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
BOR
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
BOR
2 - 0
ALB
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 1
ASC
32%
26%
42%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ACR
2 - 4
NOV
56%
22%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 3
CUN
22%
24%
54%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
LAV
2 - 0
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
ALB
0 - 0
NOV
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |