Borgo San Donnino vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
52.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo San Donnino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
BSD
67%
19%
15%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BSD
1 - 5
CAR
10%
18%
72%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ACA
3 - 2
BSD
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 2
BSD
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BSD
1 - 1
PRO
31%
23%
45%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 3
IMO
18%
25%
57%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
PRO
68%
20%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 0
PIA
8%
16%
76%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
FOR
27%
26%
48%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BSD
1 - 1
PRO
31%
23%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |