Borgo a Buggiano vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FON
0 - 0
BOR
13%
21%
65%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 1
CHI
43%
28%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GAV
1 - 4
BOR
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 0
BOR
41%
27%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
BOR
0 - 0
PON
22%
25%
53%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 0
ASD
46%
27%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
APR
2 - 0
ASM
56%
24%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 1
PON
20%
25%
55%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 1
ASM
82%
13%
5%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ASM
2 - 1
LAQ
36%
27%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |