Conference South Round 16

Boreham Wood vs Farnborough analysis

Boreham Wood Farnborough
53 ELO 51
-7.7% Tilt -8.3%
3943º General ELO ranking 6087º
106º Country ELO ranking 204º
ELO win probability
40.8%
Boreham Wood
25.8%
Draw
33.4%
Farnborough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
Boreham Wood
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.4%
Win probability
Farnborough
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boreham Wood
+27%
-3%
Farnborough

Points and table prediction

Boreham Wood
Their league position
Farnborough
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
86
11º
63
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Truro City
89
89
0%
Torquay United
89
89
0%
Eastbourne Borough
88
88
0%
Worthing
88
88
0%
Boreham Wood
86
86
0%
Dorking Wanderers
86
86
0%
Maidstone United
79
79
100%
Weston-super-Mare
75
75
100%
AFC Hornchurch
65
65
100%
Farnborough
10º
63
63
10º
100%
Chelmsford City
11º
62
62
11º
0%
Hemel Hempstead Town
12º
62
62
12º
0%
Chesham United
13º
59
59
13º
100%
Chippenham Town
14º
59
59
14º
100%
Bath City
15º
57
57
15º
0%
Slough Town
16º
57
57
16º
0%
Tonbridge Angels
17º
57
57
17º
100%
Hampton & Richmond
18º
51
51
18º
100%
Enfield Town
19º
48
48
19º
100%
Salisbury City
20º
46
46
20º
100%
St. Albans City
21º
45
45
21º
100%
Welling United
22º
38
38
22º
100%
Weymouth
23º
33
33
23º
100%
Aveley
24º
32
32
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Boreham Wood
Farnborough
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Boreham Wood
Farnborough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2024
BOR
Boreham Wood
2 - 2
Leyton Orient
LEY
15%
21%
64%
52 67 15 0
26 Oct. 2024
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
2 - 1
Boreham Wood
BOR
35%
25%
40%
53 48 5 -1
23 Oct. 2024
BOR
Boreham Wood
1 - 1
AFC Hornchurch
HOR
43%
25%
32%
53 50 3 0
19 Oct. 2024
WES
Weston-super-Mare
0 - 0
Boreham Wood
BOR
48%
25%
27%
53 53 0 0
12 Oct. 2024
BOR
Boreham Wood
4 - 0
Carshalton Athletic
CAR
59%
22%
19%
53 43 10 0

Matches

Farnborough
Farnborough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2024
FAR
Farnborough
3 - 4
Dorking Wanderers
DOR
60%
21%
19%
52 46 6 0
26 Oct. 2024
WEY
Weymouth
1 - 1
Farnborough
FAR
18%
21%
61%
53 41 12 -1
22 Oct. 2024
FAR
Farnborough
1 - 1
Truro City
WHI
52%
24%
24%
53 49 4 0
19 Oct. 2024
CHM
Chelmsford City
1 - 2
Farnborough
FAR
46%
25%
29%
52 55 3 +1
12 Oct. 2024
FAR
Farnborough
4 - 1
Enfield Town
ENF
64%
20%
17%
52 43 9 0