El Bonillo vs Villalpardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Bonillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
QUI
5 - 2
ELB
39%
25%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ELB
1 - 5
NUM
7%
14%
79%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ELB
0 - 2
VIL
10%
19%
72%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
ELB
25%
25%
50%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ELB
2 - 3
ATL
54%
22%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villalpardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 1
HER
32%
25%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RFA
3 - 1
VIL
84%
10%
6%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
HER
49%
23%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 1
VIL
47%
23%
31%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
3 - 1
ALA
35%
22%
44%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |