Bolognesi FC vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolognesi FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 0
BOL
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ALI
3 - 2
BOL
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
BOL
6 - 2
CIE
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 0
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 1
SAM
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CIE
0 - 0
MEL
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 0
SPC
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SAM
1 - 0
MEL
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
MEL
2 - 0
SBO
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |