Bologna vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ACM
1 - 0
BOL
76%
17%
8%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BOL
0 - 2
CHI
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 0
BOL
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 1
FIO
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BOL
0 - 0
FRO
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 0
LIV
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LIV
0 - 0
ACM
19%
24%
58%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NAP
3 - 1
LIV
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LIV
0 - 0
CAG
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
LIV
2 - 0
TOR
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |