Bologna vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 0
BOL
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 1
BOL
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 1
UDI
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 3
INT
18%
24%
58%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
CAG
2 - 2
ROM
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CAG
3 - 3
NAP
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PAL
2 - 1
CAG
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CAG
2 - 0
JUV
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ACM
4 - 3
CAG
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |