Bolea vs Ayerbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
31%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SJO
2 - 2
BOL
42%
22%
36%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
BOL
3 - 2
UNI
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 0
BOL
23%
20%
56%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 2
BOL
36%
21%
44%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
BOL
3 - 1
BOL
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ayerbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
AYE
1 - 1
POS
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AYE
2 - 0
SJO
34%
22%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 0
AYE
21%
19%
61%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
ALM
0 - 3
AYE
48%
21%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
AYE
1 - 2
AGU
52%
20%
28%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |