Chance Liga Normal Season Round 4

Bohemians 1905 vs Jablonec analysis

Bohemians 1905 Jablonec
81 ELO 84
-0.3% Tilt 6.7%
571º General ELO ranking 386º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.2%
Bohemians 1905
25.8%
Draw
34%
Jablonec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
Bohemians 1905
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34%
Win probability
Jablonec
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bohemians 1905
-10%
+14%
Jablonec

Points and table prediction

Bohemians 1905
Their league position
Jablonec
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
11º
11º
15
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sparta Praha
19
54
27%
Slavia Praha
17
53
10.5%
Jablonec
15
51
13%
Viktoria Plzeň
12
50
14.5%
Sigma Olomouc
13
46
7.5%
FC Zlín
13
45
9%
Mladá Boleslav
14º
4
43
5.5%
Karviná
12
42
9.5%
Slovan Liberec
8
41
9%
Baník Ostrava
13º
4
40
10º
10.5%
Bohemians 1905
7
40
11º
8%
Hradec Králové
10º
6
39
12º
10.5%
Teplice
15º
3
33
13º
12%
Slovácko
12º
5
32
14º
15%
FK Dukla Praha
11º
6
32
15º
23%
Pardubice
16º
2
20
16º
69.5%
Expected probabilities
Bohemians 1905
Jablonec
Play-offs for the title
24.5% 71%
Next round
34% 24%
Relegation play-offs
41.5% 5%

ELO progression

Bohemians 1905
Jablonec
Slovácko
Karviná
Pardubice
FK Dukla Praha
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bohemians 1905
Bohemians 1905
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2025
TEP
Teplice
3 - 0
Bohemians 1905
BOH
40%
26%
34%
81 80 1 0
26 Jul. 2025
BOH
Bohemians 1905
0 - 2
Slavia Praha
SLP
42%
26%
33%
81 83 2 0
19 Jul. 2025
BOH
Bohemians 1905
1 - 0
Baník Ostrava
BAN
41%
26%
33%
81 83 2 0
13 Jul. 2025
BOH
Bohemians 1905
3 - 2
Ruzomberok
RUZ
53%
23%
24%
81 78 3 0
05 Jul. 2025
AUS
Austria Wien
2 - 4
Bohemians 1905
BOH
43%
25%
32%
81 80 1 0

Matches

Jablonec
Jablonec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2025
JAB
Jablonec
2 - 0
Hradec Králové
HRA
48%
25%
27%
83 83 0 0
26 Jul. 2025
VKP
Viktoria Plzeň
1 - 1
Jablonec
JAB
47%
25%
28%
83 83 0 0
19 Jul. 2025
JAB
Jablonec
1 - 1
Sparta Praha
SPA
44%
24%
32%
83 83 0 0
12 Jul. 2025
JAB
Jablonec
4 - 0
Viktoria Žižkov
VIZ
72%
17%
11%
83 67 16 0
04 Jul. 2025
JAB
Jablonec
1 - 2
Wacker Innsbruck
WIN
56%
21%
23%
83 76 7 0