Bohemian FC vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
BOH
3 - 0
STF
90%
9%
2%
|
74 | 19 | 55 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
DRO
1 - 2
BOH
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
RBK
4 - 0
BOH
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
BOH
0 - 1
RBK
25%
23%
52%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 2
BOH
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
STP
3 - 0
DUB
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2003 |
STP
2 - 0
UCD
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
LON
1 - 1
STP
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
STP
3 - 2
SHR
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
DRO
4 - 2
STP
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |