Bogotá vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 3
BOG
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BOG
2 - 1
PAS
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 1
BOG
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
BOG
4 - 0
ACA
59%
23%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BOG
1 - 1
CEN
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
TFC
2 - 1
REA
39%
27%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
REA
1 - 1
PAT
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
REA
3 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
RIO
3 - 0
REA
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
REA
1 - 1
UNI
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |