Conference Premier Round 16

Bognor Regis Town vs Harrow Borough analysis

Bognor Regis Town Harrow Borough
38 ELO 41
-3.5% Tilt -9.3%
10589º General ELO ranking 9865º
549º Country ELO ranking 480º
ELO win probability
38.6%
Bognor Regis Town
25.6%
Draw
35.7%
Harrow Borough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
Bognor Regis Town
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.7%
Win probability
Harrow Borough
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bognor Regis Town
-20%
+1%
Harrow Borough

ELO progression

Bognor Regis Town
Harrow Borough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bognor Regis Town
Bognor Regis Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2009
DAR
Dartford
3 - 3
Bognor Regis Town
BOG
80%
14%
7%
37 55 18 0
03 Nov. 2009
BOG
Bognor Regis Town
2 - 0
Ashford Town
ASH
31%
25%
45%
35 41 6 +2
31 Oct. 2009
BOG
Bognor Regis Town
0 - 2
Maidstone United
MAI
36%
26%
38%
37 45 8 -2
24 Oct. 2009
BOG
Bognor Regis Town
1 - 1
Billericay Town
BIL
46%
25%
29%
37 38 1 0
17 Oct. 2009
BOG
Bognor Regis Town
3 - 1
Ashford Town Kent
ATK
60%
22%
19%
36 33 3 +1

Matches

Harrow Borough
Harrow Borough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2009
HAR
Harrow Borough
2 - 1
Maidstone United
MAI
46%
25%
30%
40 44 4 0
07 Nov. 2009
HAR
Harrow Borough
1 - 2
Ashford Town
ASH
52%
22%
26%
41 39 2 -1
03 Nov. 2009
WEA
Wealdstone
2 - 1
Harrow Borough
HAR
60%
20%
20%
41 48 7 0
31 Oct. 2009
HAR
Harrow Borough
2 - 2
Wealdstone
WEA
37%
24%
39%
41 49 8 0
20 Oct. 2009
HAR
Harrow Borough
5 - 1
Soham Town Rangers
SOH
73%
16%
11%
41 28 13 0