Bogen vs Vilzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FCP
1 - 5
BOG
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BOG
3 - 3
KOT
49%
23%
29%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
KIR
0 - 1
BOG
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ERL
3 - 1
BOG
14%
19%
67%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
WOL
3 - 3
BOG
41%
23%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vilzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
KOT
0 - 0
VIL
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
KIR
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
HAH
0 - 2
VIL
26%
23%
51%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
RUH
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
PUL
0 - 1
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |