Bogen vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
60.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PUL
2 - 2
BOG
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
DAC
3 - 1
BOG
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 1
HEI
22%
20%
57%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BOG
3 - 3
LAN
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ROS
4 - 0
BOG
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
VRG
1 - 1
DAC
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VRG
1 - 0
LAN
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
UNT
0 - 2
VRG
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VRG
4 - 0
VIL
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
KOT
1 - 3
VRG
26%
22%
53%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +2 |