Bogen vs Sonthofen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
BOG
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 1
FCP
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BOG
5 - 1
WOL
30%
23%
47%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
KOT
3 - 0
BOG
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BOG
0 - 0
ERL
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sonthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SON
1 - 1
FCP
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ERL
2 - 1
SON
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SON
0 - 0
WOL
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 1
SON
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SON
2 - 0
VRG
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +3 |