Bogen vs Pullach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BAD
0 - 1
BOG
35%
23%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 2
UNT
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 1
BOG
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 2
BOG
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 2
SON
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pullach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
UNT
0 - 2
PUL
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HAH
0 - 1
PUL
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PUL
3 - 0
SON
71%
17%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
PUL
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
PUL
4 - 0
LAN
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |