Bodens vs Assi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bodens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 1
BOD
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BOD
1 - 1
ANU
57%
22%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
PIT
1 - 2
BOD
38%
24%
39%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BOD
1 - 1
HAR
59%
21%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
THO
0 - 2
BOD
23%
22%
55%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Assi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
ASI
0 - 1
MSK
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ASI
2 - 2
MOR
45%
23%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ANU
2 - 0
ASI
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2012 |
ASI
1 - 2
PIT
40%
24%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 1
ASI
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |