VfL Bochum vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
71.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
FSV
0 - 2
BOC
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BOC
1 - 1
F95
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BOC
6 - 0
ERZ
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
EBT
4 - 0
BOC
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
BOC
0 - 1
COT
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
BYM
3 - 0
KOL
82%
13%
6%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
STU
1 - 2
BYM
18%
22%
60%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
BYM
40%
23%
37%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BYM
4 - 1
BRE
67%
18%
15%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
M05
3 - 2
BYM
12%
19%
70%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |