Regionalliga Western Round 5

VfL Bochum II vs Mainz 05 II analysis

VfL Bochum II Mainz 05 II
47 ELO 53
2.9% Tilt 15.7%
3456º General ELO ranking 3380º
152º Country ELO ranking 147º
ELO win probability
34.5%
VfL Bochum II
25.3%
Draw
40.2%
Mainz 05 II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
VfL Bochum II
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.2%
Win probability
Mainz 05 II
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfL Bochum II
+18%
+8%
Mainz 05 II

ELO progression

VfL Bochum II
Mainz 05 II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfL Bochum II
VfL Bochum II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2009
BOC
VfL Bochum II
3 - 1
B. Leverkusen II
BAY
42%
25%
34%
46 48 2 0
22 Aug. 2009
WAL
Waldhof Mannheim
1 - 1
VfL Bochum II
BOC
55%
24%
22%
46 52 6 0
14 Aug. 2009
BOC
VfL Bochum II
4 - 1
B. Mönchengladbach II
BOR
35%
25%
40%
43 49 6 +3
07 Aug. 2009
SPO
Sportfreunde Lotte
0 - 0
VfL Bochum II
BOC
55%
22%
23%
43 47 4 0
06 Jun. 2009
BOC
VfL Bochum II
1 - 0
Eintracht Trier
EIN
45%
25%
31%
42 44 2 +1

Matches

Mainz 05 II
Mainz 05 II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2009
MAI
Mainz 05 II
1 - 0
Waldhof Mannheim
WAL
51%
25%
24%
52 52 0 0
21 Aug. 2009
BOR
B. Mönchengladbach II
3 - 4
Mainz 05 II
MAI
44%
24%
32%
51 47 4 +1
16 Aug. 2009
MAI
Mainz 05 II
1 - 7
Sportfreunde Lotte
SPO
60%
22%
18%
53 47 6 -2
07 Aug. 2009
PRE
Preußen Münster
1 - 2
Mainz 05 II
MAI
44%
26%
30%
52 52 0 +1
06 Jun. 2009
OGG
Oggersheim
1 - 3
Mainz 05 II
MAI
30%
26%
44%
52 45 7 0