2ª AF Lisboa Round 22

Bocal vs Palmense analysis

Bocal Palmense
15 ELO 12
1.6% Tilt 7.5%
26541º General ELO ranking 26538º
840º Country ELO ranking 837º
ELO win probability
68.1%
Bocal
17.3%
Draw
14.5%
Palmense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
Bocal
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.6%
Win probability
Palmense
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bocal
+49%
+68%
Palmense

ELO progression

Bocal
Palmense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bocal
Bocal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2015
FGR
Fonte Grada
1 - 3
Bocal
BOC
18%
19%
63%
15 9 6 0
12 Apr. 2015
BOC
Bocal
2 - 0
SC Livramento
LIV
72%
16%
12%
14 10 4 +1
29 Mar. 2015
BOC
Bocal
0 - 1
CF Chelas
CHE
69%
17%
14%
15 12 3 -1
22 Mar. 2015
DSA
Domingos Sávio
7 - 0
Bocal
BOC
75%
15%
10%
16 22 6 -1
08 Mar. 2015
BOC
Bocal
2 - 3
Mafra B
MAF
27%
22%
51%
16 22 6 0

Matches

Palmense
Palmense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2015
PAL
Palmense
3 - 4
CF Chelas
CHE
41%
23%
36%
12 14 2 0
12 Apr. 2015
DSA
Domingos Sávio
3 - 2
Palmense
PAL
83%
11%
6%
12 23 11 0
29 Mar. 2015
PAL
Palmense
0 - 1
Mafra B
MAF
16%
19%
65%
13 22 9 -1
22 Mar. 2015
MAL
Malveira Serra
2 - 3
Palmense
PAL
57%
21%
22%
12 14 2 +1
08 Mar. 2015
PAL
Palmense
3 - 1
Outurela
OUT
36%
23%
41%
10 13 3 +2