Boca Unidos vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
BUC
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 1
RAF
26%
28%
45%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 2
BUC
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
BUC
2 - 0
SMA
40%
29%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 1
BUC
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
IRV
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 3
FER
46%
27%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
FER
0 - 2
MER
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
FER
0 - 2
PAT
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 3
FER
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |