Boca Unidos vs Central Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
38.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
5º
8º
8º
21
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
21 | 32 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 30 |
2º
|
62.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 26 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 24 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 20 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 18 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 18 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 15 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 9 |
9º
|
90.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
95.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
BUC
19%
25%
56%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
BUC
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 0
CEN
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
9DJ
2 - 0
BUC
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 1
SOL
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BOC
3 - 0
CEN
77%
17%
7%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
JAN
0 - 2
CEN
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
GIM
35%
26%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DHA
5 - 0
CEN
34%
30%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CEN
3 - 1
SLP
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |