Boca Unidos vs 9 de Julio Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
8º
3º
41
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SOL
6 - 1
BUC
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 0
JAN
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CDN
1 - 1
BUC
26%
28%
47%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 1
GYT
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
BUC
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
9DJ
0 - 1
JAN
26%
29%
45%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CDN
2 - 1
9DJ
51%
27%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
9DJ
2 - 1
GYT
16%
26%
59%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 0
9DJ
70%
20%
10%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
9DJ
0 - 1
SAR
15%
24%
61%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |