Boca Juniors II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 1
NOB
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 1
GOC
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 2
BOC
16%
25%
59%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 2
LAN
60%
23%
18%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
HUR
1 - 4
BOC
29%
26%
45%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 2
SAR
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
ARG
2 - 3
SAR
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
NOB
6 - 2
SAR
44%
25%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
SAR
1 - 2
GLP
58%
21%
22%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
SAR
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |