Boca Júnior FC vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
BOC
62%
23%
15%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LAG
0 - 2
BOC
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 0
DOR
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
BOC
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
BOC
62%
23%
15%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ARN
0 - 2
SER
65%
20%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
SER
0 - 2
AMA
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
AFP
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 2
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ABS
0 - 4
SER
11%
18%
71%
|
47 | 10 | 37 | +1 |