Boca Júnior FC vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
30%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 2
BOC
62%
24%
15%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
BOC
1 - 0
SOC
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 1
LAG
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
DOR
2 - 0
BOC
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
SER
3 - 0
BOC
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AFP
1 - 0
LAG
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CON
2 - 0
AFP
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
AFP
0 - 0
ITA
16%
22%
61%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AFP
0 - 2
OSE
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 1
AFP
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |