Bobadelense vs União Mercês analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
5.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bobadelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALG
5 - 2
BOB
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BOB
3 - 1
MEM
56%
21%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ADC
3 - 1
BOB
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 2
BOB
25%
22%
53%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BOB
3 - 0
AGU
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
União Mercês
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
UME
5 - 1
AGU
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 4
UME
71%
17%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +3 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UME
0 - 4
DAM
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 1
UME
81%
13%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
UME
2 - 4
ATO
30%
22%
47%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |