Carioca 1 Segunda Fase. Jor. 4

Boavista SC vs Nova Iguaçu analysis

Boavista SC Nova Iguaçu
58 ELO 49
5.1% Tilt 6.4%
4301º General ELO ranking 2413º
150º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
70.2%
Boavista SC
18%
Draw
11.8%
Nova Iguaçu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
Boavista SC
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.8%
Win probability
Nova Iguaçu
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boavista SC
+42%
+75%
Nova Iguaçu

ELO progression

Boavista SC
Nova Iguaçu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boavista SC
Boavista SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2012
AMF
América Mineiro
2 - 1
Boavista SC
BOA
68%
17%
14%
59 70 11 0
10 Mar. 2012
RES
Resende
2 - 0
Boavista SC
BOA
34%
23%
43%
61 55 6 -2
07 Mar. 2012
BOA
Boavista SC
0 - 0
América Mineiro
AMF
31%
23%
46%
60 70 10 +1
04 Mar. 2012
BOA
Boavista SC
2 - 3
Macaé Esporte
MAC
60%
20%
20%
61 56 5 -1
01 Mar. 2012
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 2
Boavista SC
BOA
73%
17%
10%
60 79 19 +1

Matches

Nova Iguaçu
Nova Iguaçu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2012
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
0 - 1
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
45%
24%
31%
49 49 0 0
03 Mar. 2012
FLU
Fluminense
3 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
86%
11%
4%
49 83 34 0
29 Feb. 2012
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
2 - 1
Friburguense
FRI
36%
25%
39%
48 53 5 +1
18 Feb. 2012
MAD
Madureira RJ
2 - 2
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
58%
23%
19%
48 53 5 0
12 Feb. 2012
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
81%
14%
5%
48 80 32 0
X