Boado vs Paderne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
BOA
22%
21%
57%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BOA
1 - 1
XUN
68%
18%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 2
BOA
21%
21%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BOA
4 - 0
ALL
45%
22%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MER
2 - 1
BOA
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Paderne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PAD
6 - 0
ABO
54%
22%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
PAD
76%
15%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PAD
2 - 3
MUI
29%
23%
48%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
RAN
0 - 2
PAD
76%
15%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PAD
3 - 2
MUN
41%
23%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |