Smari vs Árbær analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
74.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BLI
1 - 6
AEG
7%
13%
81%
|
15 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
KFB
1 - 2
BLI
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
5 - 1
BLI
33%
22%
45%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
BLI
2 - 3
GGI
5%
10%
86%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HMH
4 - 1
BLI
94%
5%
2%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Árbær
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
REY
2 - 3
FCA
59%
21%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 1
KAR
55%
21%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KOH
3 - 2
FCA
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
4 - 0
HVI
57%
20%
24%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
KFF
0 - 5
FCA
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |