Bled Hirter vs Jesenice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bled Hirter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SDN
0 - 9
BHI
13%
17%
70%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
NKZ
0 - 3
BHI
13%
17%
70%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BHI
0 - 1
VIS
74%
15%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 0
BHI
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ARN
0 - 1
BHI
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Jesenice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
JES
1 - 4
NSV
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ADR
2 - 1
JES
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DRV
0 - 0
JES
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
VIS
1 - 3
JES
27%
21%
52%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
JES
5 - 1
BRD
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |