Blagnac vs Trelissac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
60.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
NIO
2 - 0
BLA
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
BLA
1 - 1
ROD
32%
25%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
TOF
3 - 2
BLA
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
BLA
0 - 0
ANG
17%
24%
59%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
MON
0 - 1
BLA
59%
22%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Trelissac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 0
BER
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 2
NIO
62%
22%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ROD
3 - 1
TRE
19%
24%
56%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 0
TOF
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
ANG
1 - 2
TRE
43%
28%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |