Black Peril vs Notwane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Peril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TFC
3 - 1
BPE
47%
24%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
POL
1 - 0
BPE
48%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
UFS
5 - 2
BPE
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BPE
1 - 0
ECC
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BPE
1 - 3
EXT
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Notwane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
EXT
0 - 2
NOT
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 0
NOT
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 0
TAF
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MOT
2 - 2
NOT
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 1
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |