1st Division Round 5

Black Leopards vs Pretoria Callies FC analysis

Black Leopards Pretoria Callies FC
56 ELO 57
-14.5% Tilt -4.2%
3775º General ELO ranking 3517º
28º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
33.1%
Black Leopards
27.8%
Draw
39.1%
Pretoria Callies FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
Black Leopards
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.1%
Win probability
Pretoria Callies FC
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Black Leopards
-11%
-17%
Pretoria Callies FC

Points and table prediction

Black Leopards
Their league position
Pretoria Callies FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
10º
36
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Durban City
58
58
100%
Orbit College
53
53
100%
Casric Stars
48
48
100%
Black Leopards
47
47
100%
Kruger United
45
45
100%
Milford
43
43
0%
JDR Stars
43
43
0%
Baroka
41
41
100%
Highbury
38
38
100%
Pretoria University
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Pretoria Callies FC
11º
36
36
11º
100%
Upington City FC
12º
35
35
12º
100%
Hungry Lions
13º
33
33
13º
100%
Venda
14º
31
31
14º
100%
Cape Town Spurs
15º
30
30
15º
100%
Leruma United
16º
27
27
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Black Leopards
Pretoria Callies FC
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Black Leopards
Pretoria Callies FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Black Leopards
Black Leopards
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
ORC
Orbit College
0 - 1
Black Leopards
BLA
19%
23%
58%
54 30 24 0
14 Sep. 2024
BLA
Black Leopards
0 - 1
Casric Stars
CST
32%
28%
40%
55 62 7 -1
31 Aug. 2024
BLA
Black Leopards
2 - 0
Leruma United
LER
72%
18%
10%
55 9 46 0
23 Aug. 2024
HIG
Highbury
1 - 1
Black Leopards
BLA
15%
21%
64%
55 9 46 0
19 May. 2024
BLA
Black Leopards
2 - 0
NB La Masia
NBM
39%
26%
34%
54 55 1 +1

Matches

Pretoria Callies FC
Pretoria Callies FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
PCF
Pretoria Callies FC
0 - 0
Milford
MIL
68%
20%
13%
59 30 29 0
14 Sep. 2024
KRU
Kruger United
1 - 0
Pretoria Callies FC
PCF
18%
22%
60%
59 9 50 0
31 Aug. 2024
PCF
Pretoria Callies FC
0 - 1
Pretoria University
PRE
33%
30%
37%
60 65 5 -1
24 Aug. 2024
LER
Leruma United
0 - 1
Pretoria Callies FC
PCF
16%
22%
62%
60 9 51 0
19 May. 2024
MIL
Milford
2 - 1
Pretoria Callies FC
PCF
18%
23%
59%
60 26 34 0