BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
8º
76
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
BKM
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
BKM
1 - 1
PYU
26%
26%
49%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
BKM
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 2
BKM
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
BKM
2 - 1
LER
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 0
LER
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NOA
2 - 1
AVA
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
AVA
4 - 1
VAN
65%
21%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 2
AVA
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 1
ALA
44%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |