BKMA II vs Mika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
2º
36
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKMA II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
GAN
1 - 0
BKM
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
BKM
0 - 1
ARA
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BKM
2 - 0
SYU
64%
20%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 3
BKM
12%
18%
71%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SYU
1 - 5
BKM
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
MIK
0 - 1
SYU
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 3
MIK
16%
21%
63%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
MIK
0 - 1
SHI
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
4 - 1
MIK
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
MIK
0 - 1
PYU
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |