BK Forward vs Smedby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
10º
9º
15
4º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 60 |
1º
|
93.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 52 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 48 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 42 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 41 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 40 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 34 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 33 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 29 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 26 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 16 |
14º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 23% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 34.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BK Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
ASI
4 - 3
BKF
32%
22%
46%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SYR
4 - 0
BKF
33%
24%
42%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
BKF
1 - 2
FOF
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
NYK
1 - 3
BKF
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
BKF
3 - 0
EIF
87%
9%
4%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Smedby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
SME
0 - 3
ATV
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
NYK
0 - 1
SME
58%
19%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
SME
1 - 1
SYR
37%
22%
42%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
FOF
2 - 1
SME
57%
19%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
SME
1 - 4
SYL
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -2 |