Birmingham City vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BHA
1 - 1
BIR
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
IPS
1 - 1
BIR
25%
25%
51%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 2
BRI
71%
20%
9%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
WHU
3 - 3
BIR
46%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BIR
3 - 1
CRY
62%
24%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
REA
2 - 2
CRY
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
REA
1 - 0
NTT
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 3
REA
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
BHA
0 - 1
REA
34%
26%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
REA
2 - 0
LEE
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |